I have been having a surf around the internet tonight and find out that, according to the www. world, Madagascar really doesn't seem like a good place to be at the moment.
Firstly, I looked up the weather and found out that what was a 'tropical storm' last time I looked, has turned into Cyclone Hubert and killed 36 people to the north of Fort Dauphin. http://en.afrik.com/article17154.html I feel sad for those poor people and feel bad for moaning about 'rain' in my last blog like it was English rain. Rain here can and often does bring tragedy.
Then, I have had a catch up on the political situation (which is complicated). I would hate to explain as I am an erratic follower of the news - have a look at the BBC for some good background info on Madagascar http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/country_profiles/1063208.stm and this excellent summary of the current situation by IRIN
Tonight I came across this open letter that Rajoelina, the current HAT leader wrote in January...
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703699204575016570856757824.html#articleTabs%3Darticle
He sounds like a reasonable chap saying all the right thing, until you have a look at the comments page to see what readers really think about him - tales of press restrictions, civil rights abuses and suspected involvement in the current rosewood export scandal - makes him not seems quite so squeaky clean.
Then wondering what has been happening more recently (as the promised first round of elections have been 'postponed' and today was the deadline for African Union/US sanctions that they threatened if Rajoelina won't come back to the negotiation table) ... when I came across this which was only posted an hour or so ago written by Ravalomanana (the former President).
Now I don't really feel very qualified to comment, but I do know that the Malagasy love to talk... and long may they continue to do so. I sincerely hope that that desire to openly discuss will be sufficient protest for the Malagasy until there is the free and fair election which has been promised to them and that politicians everywhere make this happen as quickly as possible.
The Malagasy people that I know are certainly concerned by the ongoing power struggle but only in the sense that it is now really affecting their livelihoods. Few voice a favourite candidate for President, most are sadly just accepting that corruption has happened in the past and will probably happen again in some form whoever gets in and that the needs of the population of Fort Dauphin are probably viewed as inconsequential in the game of power being played out in Antananarivo the capital right now. They just want to be able to get on with their lives as best they can.
The international media hypes things by using words like crisis, when all that has happened really are a few isolated violent incidents (amongst many other non-violent rallies and gatherings) mostly in the capital city. There has been no political trouble in Fort Dauphin - all this town knows is that there are now very few tourists which means very little income, which means fewer jobs, so people are unable to purchase anything but the bare essentials and on it goes affecting the whole of this small community. This is starting to undo a lot of the improvements that had been starting to happen in recent years. There are no government hand outs, the number of beggars has certainly increased at the market and I am not going to pretend everything is hunky dory - there have recently been a few instances of people being robbed - but if you are sensible (i.e. take a taxi after dark) Fort Dauphin is certainly still a safer place than most western cities.
The two worst things that can happen, that would make an already bad situation worse for the local Malagasy, would be for the world to ignore what the political delay is doing to the people of Madagascar and drag discussions out any longer than necessary ... or for any more people to turn their backs on Madagascar as it needs your business and your support.
For now, our little home down in Southern Madagascar seems a long way away from Antananarivo and the Madagascar you read about on the internet. I can promise that if you would like to visit, ensure you take everything you read with a pinch of salt, do have the good sense to avoid crowds and have good insurance but come over anyway - its a great time to come as there are no crowds and you'll have the pick of best sun loungers when the sun come back out - which I hope it will do very soon for us all.